Construction sector performance
Construction demand is likely to surpass last year's level amid adjustment in labour regulations and rising costs, despite potential challenges posed by regulatory changes highlighting the skilled labour gap.
In 2023, construction contracts worth S$33.8bn were awarded, marking a 13.5 percent increase from the S$29.8bn recorded in 2022. Demand was primarily driven by residential and infrastructure projects across both the public and private sectors.
With a continued pipeline of public sector projects and the expansion of two Integrated Resorts, total construction demand in 2024 is expected to range between S$32bn and S$38bn. The public sector is expected to contribute about 55 percent, with the private sector contributing 45 percent.
Source: Building and Construction Authority
According to BCA’s preliminary data, total construction demand up to May 2024 was S$15.4bn, filling up approximately 40 percent of the forecasted upper range of S$38bn. Continuing this momentum, construction demand in 2024 is likely to be in the upper range of the forecast, exceeding 2023 levels.
Figure 4:
Singapore’s construction demand by building type 2024 forecast (S$32bn – S$38bn)
S$7.9bn – S$9.0bn
Civil engineering
S$6.6bn – S$7.6bn
Public residential
S$4.5bn – S$5.6bn
Institutional and others
S$3.5bn – S$4.7bn
Industrial
S$3.7bn – S$4.5bn
Private residential
S$5.9bn – S$6.6bn
Commercial
Source: Building and Construction Authority
Private sector construction demand is set to see strong growth in commercial development and sustained levels in residential developments. This growth is driven by the increased availability of Government Land Sales (GLS) sites and renovation of old structures like the former Peace Centre and Golden Mile Complex.
Commercial construction is projected to continue rising with the creation of new mixed-use properties, alongside refurbishments of existing buildings, an estimated 7.0 percent increase from the previous year. Civil infrastructure projects such as MRT line expansions, road and drainage systems upgrades, and works to support the development of Changi Airport Terminal 5 (T5), Tuas Port and the Bulim area will further boost the sector.
However, challenges that may affect sector growth persist, including inflation and increasing interest rates. Geopolitical instability continues to strain supply chains, with lengthy lead times needed for acquiring construction materials and equipment. While timelines have improved since the COVID-19 pandemic, they still remain extended.
Source: Building and Construction Authority
Changes in manpower regulations, effective January 1, 2024, also pose a challenge. The Dependency Ratio Ceiling (DRC) measures are set to fully replace the current Man Year Entitlement (MYE) rule, as part of Singapore’s drive for greater productivity, outlined in the BCA’s industry transformation map (ITM). The DRC is the maximum ratio of foreign employees to total employee count that a company in a specified sector can employ, now dropped to 1:5 from 1:7 previously. The DRC change amplifies the paucity of skilled labour, especially those with job-specific competencies.
Source: Building and Construction Authority