Executive summary
Can the US construction industry continue to move forwards at pace?
America’s economy and its construction industry set itself a dauntingly high bar in 2023. Yet while growth predictions for 2024 are optimistic, sentiment is fading and headwinds are building.
Residential and commercial real estate face a growing series of challenges, albeit infrastructure’s outlook is bullish, buoyed by several policy commitments. At the same time, this polarization at an asset class level is replicated by geography, with the west coast lagging behind hotspots in the central south and a resilient east coast.
Input cost pressures, particularly from a materials perspective, are alleviating, but labor and machinery and equipment costs remain elevated. As a result, bid price escalation is recalibrating downwards, yet this is a slow process, bolstered by resilient demand conditions.
Hanging over everything is the unanswered, and unanswerable, question of what political direction the country will take when the next Presidential administration takes office. Traditionally, such election uncertainty has had a chilling effect on capital investment, but with US construction beginning 2024 from a position of strength, the industry will hope to start as it means to go on.
This edition of the US market intelligence report will explore how those responsible for built asset programs can boost the resilience of their delivery model to ensure they are ready for, and able to adapt to, whatever America’s election year brings.
In a nutshell
3.2%
Quarterly GDP growth as of Q4 2023
4.2%
Quarter on year construction GVA growth as of Q3 2023
3.5%
Bid price inflation (escalation) estimate for 2024
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